Dec 02, 2025
3 min read
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Week 13 of the NUF NFF ended with the New England Pathors the New York Giants on "Monday Night."
The Patriots have won nine in a row and lead the AFC East at 10-2.The Giants, meanwhile, have lost six straight and sit in last place in the NFC East at 2-10.
There is good news for the Giants, as rookie Cormababay Jaxson Drocol cleared the protocol and will return to the lineup against management.
New England is a 7.5 million favorite for Monday's game.
Mathe Bowen, Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado, Ben Solak and Seth Walder provide their tips, prop plays and analysis to help you bet on the game.
Note: Odds provided by DraftKings are subject to change.
Options |Resources |DFS Tips |Trends
Total Points Under 46.5 (-112)
Maldonado: New England controls the tempo, wins time of possession and forces long, methodical drives out of explosive plays.The Patriots' disciplined pass defense and their rate of pressure at home will disrupt the Arrows, which often leads to the Giants' offense collapsing when they are forced into obvious passing situations.With the Patriots missing two key players and relying on efficiency over offense, this projects as a slower, lower-key game.
Giants +7.5 (-120)
Solak: Let the Los Angeles Rams' loss to the Carolina Panthers and the Denver Broncos' last-game win over the Washington Commanders serve as a warning.I expect a very passionate Giants team in Game 2 under Mike Kafka and with Jackson Dart back in the starting lineup.The Patriots have several offensive linemen for this game and several questionable linebackers.This should be a one score game throughout.
Giants +7.5 (-120)
Walder: The difference between these two teams is not as big as it seems. Two factors contribute to this idea.
1. Strength of schedule.In Week 13, the Patriots played the easiest schedule in the NFL.And the Giants?They played their hardest.
2. Darts.The Giants have only played seven games with the introduction of Dart, which is why we can't just look at season numbers to judge this team.They will be a much better team with him on the pitch.With Dart games, the Giants have averaged 0.07 EPA per game on offense – which is better than the Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles.
Famous players tips, bets
The Drake Maye opened 30.5 (-105)
Walder: The Patriots ran designed pass plays 61% of the time, the 14th highest rate in the league.But if we adjust for game state and instead look at the above-expected pass rate from the NFL's next-generation stats, New England would actually rank as the fourth-highest passing team in the league (plus-3%).My model estimates it at 152 without knowing that I like the giants against the spread (see above!).If I'm right, this makes May more likely to hit because she'll be less likely to be in an untimed game scenario.
Treveyon Henderson 70+ Meters Rushing Yards (+104)
Bowen: Let's play Henderson's match.The Giants defense is allowing a league-worst 157.2 yards per game.Henderson will show volume on Monday night and we know he can make explosive plays.
Theo Johnson over 32.5 yards receiving (-109).
Loza: The running game is, understandably, the focus of this game, but there are points to make up for in the air.New England struggled to defend the pass, especially in short situations.Meanwhile, Johnson ranks second on the Giants in rushing routes, targets caught, catches and receiving yards recorded since Dartt took over in late September.Additionally, Johnson had 35+ receiving yards in three consecutive weeks, and averaged 38 yards with Dart as the starter from Weeks 4 through 10. Since 7.5-point underdogs are expected to chase points, and considering the fact that the Patriots have allowed the sixth-most yards to receivers, with Johnson 4 points on 4. receiving yards.
Daily Fantasy Tips for DraftKings Captain Showdown
Manager (Scont 1.5x fantasy points): Drake maye ($17,700).I'm going with Maye and his ability to threaten against the Giants Defense.Maye has thrown for more than 270 yards in three straight games, and 20 rushing yards in three of the past five.
Also in my lineup: Theo Johnson ($5,800).Let's shoot Johnson with a dart back under center for the Giants.New England has allowed an average of 63.3 yards per game to opposing tight ends, and Johnson has the ability to open up the seams while making himself available in the red zone.
Captain (1.5x fantasy points): Trevion Henderson ($12,000).The Giants have a defensive offense in football.Raymond is back in the game, but we know Henderson can do that if he goes to second and third.With two teams looking to spread a productive production environment, the best bet for the best performance lies in Henderson's ability.
Also in my linep: Isaiah hodgions ($3,600).One of the first trades of the post-brian daboll era was signing hodgins off the pittsburgh steelers' practice squad.Hell of a cult for his sudden ascension to Wr1, Hodgins returned to an all-important role in New York.He runs the route on 74.3% of the team's downs and has a target of 23.1%.This is a lot of free work.
Captain (1.5 fantasy points): Kayshawn Boutte ($10,200).Perhaps no receiver in the NFL has a more bullish profile than Boutte.The Patriots receiver runs a deep fade or drop route 32% of the time, the highest of any player with at least 150 routes per snap.mile this year.In a forward looking game like DFS, I want to maximize the potential boom
Also in my lineup: Giants D/ST ($3,200). I would have been tempted to go with this pick anyway, but with Will Campbell out, it makes the Patriots especially vulnerable to the Giants' pass rush. Since the start of last season, backup tackle Vederian Lowe has an 86.3% success rate on tackles, which would rank 63rd out of 70 qualified tackles this year. Ta slabost povećava šanse za preokret i obrambeni pogodak.
Research provided
The Giants are 8-15 on the road since 2023.Straight 0-6 on the road this season (3-3 ATS).
Over has struck out in five of the Giants' last six games when facing a team with a winning record.
New England is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record.
The Patriots have won their last four home games.
